Nacional Potosi 3-4 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +77%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
Crosses 8.7
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 217
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
28.10.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
14.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
21.08.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
05.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
22.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-4
AWAY Wilstermann
1.64 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
226 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann nicked a narrow win over Nacional Potosi 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional Potosi at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 46% of the ball to Wilstermann's 54%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.64 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.00 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann?

Nacional Potosi 3-4 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 56%, draw 22%, Wilstermann 22%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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