Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
206 Passes 261
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
09.04.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.02.2024 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
27.06.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira nicked a narrow win over Independiente Petrolero 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.17 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira?

Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 48%, draw 25%, Guabira 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5
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