Guabira 1-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.66/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 70%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.9 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
09.04.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.02.2024 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
27.06.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
12.12.2021 Guabira Guabira 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.87 xG 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
260 Passes 144
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Guabira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guabira at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guabira had 60% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 40%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.87 to 0.33 — on chances, Guabira could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guabira and 1.33 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Guabira 1-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guabira 50%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guabira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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