USM Alger 2-0 Belouizdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.98
6+ Goals
11%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
30%
+14.5pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Belouizdad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2025 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.10.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
24.04.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYRK
16.03.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
10.11.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.07.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Belouizdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger beat Belouizdad 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 0.83 for Belouizdad.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Belouizdad?

USM Alger 2-0 Belouizdad in the Algeria - National Cup on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Belouizdad?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 45%, draw 29%, Belouizdad 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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