Yeoju Sejong 1-3 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.02/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.11
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.03.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 1-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
28.09.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
01.06.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation got the better of Yeoju Sejong 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Yeoju Sejong at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 0.67 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation?

Yeoju Sejong 1-3 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeoju Sejong win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 44%, draw 24%, Busan Transportation 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yeoju Sejong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
5 Jul 2025
10:00 Chuncheon Citizen vs Siheung Citizen Analysis →
13:00 Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail Analysis →