Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.03
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.03.2025 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
28.09.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
31.05.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
21.07.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.04.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.06.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail edged past Ulsan Citizen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Daejeon Korail as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.17 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 26%, draw 24%, Daejeon Korail 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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