Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Jul 2025

Jeonnam Dragons
2-1 HT 1-1
Incheon United
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeonnam Dragons v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.79
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.8 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
278 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
22.08.2018 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
05.11.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 1-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
20.09.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
28.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
15.04.2017 Incheon United Incheon United 1-3 HT 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR

Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2-1
AWAY Incheon United
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
258 Passes 449
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons edged past Incheon United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 37% of the ball to Incheon United's 63%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.67 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United?

Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 30%, draw 22%, Incheon United 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
5 Jul 2025
13:00 Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings Analysis →
13:00 Cheongju FC vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
13:00 Gyeongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners Analysis →