Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.88
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 18.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 369
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.10.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
03.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-3
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
313 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 49% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 51%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 29%, draw 27%, Suwon Bluewings 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5
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