Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.49
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.5 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
03.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
309 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings nicked a narrow win over Asan Mugunghwa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Suwon Bluewings found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 54% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 46%, shots finished 20-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 37%, draw 30%, Asan Mugunghwa 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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