Zilina 1-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.80/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.33
+17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karvina
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
20.01.2024 Zilina Zilina 7-4 HT 2-2 Karvina Karvina HAZ
22.06.2019 Karvina Karvina 4-3 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
1-3
AWAY Karvina
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina saw off Zilina 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zilina at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Zilina had 49% of the ball to Karvina's 51%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Zilina and 4.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Karvina?

Zilina 1-3 Karvina in the Friendlies on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zilina 46%, draw 28%, Karvina 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zilina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zilina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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