Mlada Boleslav 2-4 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.78/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.62
+70% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
380 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
06.04.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
14.01.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-2 HT 3-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
02.11.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
21.04.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
09.11.2018 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-4
AWAY Dukla Prag
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag got the better of Mlada Boleslav 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 56% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 44%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 2-4 Dukla Prag in the Friendlies on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 46%, draw 23%, Dukla Prag 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ BTTS Yes
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