Mlada Boleslav 0-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 23% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.75/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.94
+19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +70%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 67%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.9 Crosses 21.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 261
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-2 HT 3-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
02.11.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
21.04.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
09.11.2018 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
19.05.2018 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
24.11.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.02 xG 1.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
402 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag edged past Mlada Boleslav 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 58% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 42%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.02 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 0-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 44%, draw 26%, Dukla Prag 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ BTTS Yes
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