Westerlo 1-3 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.33
2-3 Goals
37%
2.5
4-5 Goals
28%
2.27
6+ Goals
16%
3.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
26.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
31.03.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
10.11.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 2-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense beat Westerlo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 2.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs St. Truidense?

Westerlo 1-3 St. Truidense in the Friendlies on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 49%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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