St. Truidense 1-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Feb 2024

St. Truidense
1-0 HT 1-0
Westerlo
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.7
X/2
14%
7.25
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
5.17
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 4.7 — our 22% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.68/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.59
+12% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.4 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

St. Truidense vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 437
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 2-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
19.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
29.10.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
10.07.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo HAZ
18.05.2019 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
06.04.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense squeezed past Westerlo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Truidense and 1.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Westerlo?

St. Truidense 1-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 44%, draw 26%, Westerlo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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