RWDM 47 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
14%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.01
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
13%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.2
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
23%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 42%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.19/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.39
-52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.3 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
1W-0D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 15
05.08.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.17 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 and OH Leuven couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 48% of the ball to OH Leuven's 52%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.90.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs OH Leuven?

RWDM 47 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated an OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 34%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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