Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Feb 2024

Mechelen
3-0 HT 1-0
Kortrijk
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Mechelen vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
12%
3.72
X/2
10%
11.05
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
13%
8.83
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.80/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.71
+2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.8 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mechelen vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-3 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
21.01.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
11.01.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEK
10.09.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-4 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.04.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
27.08.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
3-0
AWAY Kortrijk
1.22 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
410 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen ran out comfortable winners over Kortrijk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mechelen had 53% of the ball to Kortrijk's 47%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mechelen and 1.17 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Kortrijk?

Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 49%, draw 24%, Kortrijk 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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