Westerlo 1-2 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Jan 2025

Westerlo
1-2 HT 1-1
St. Truidense
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Westerlo vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.66
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.88
X/2
11%
7.54
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.1
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.82/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
+3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.6 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Westerlo vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 422
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
31.03.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
10.11.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 2-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
19.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense nicked a narrow win over Westerlo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 1.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs St. Truidense?

Westerlo 1-2 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 48%, draw 24%, St. Truidense 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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