Genk 2-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
18%
3.83
X/2
5%
11.9
X/X
14%
6.21
2/1
9%
21.6
2/2
7%
8.98
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
2.18/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.79
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.9 Crosses 11.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-0D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.10 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
31.01.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
12.11.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.04.2023 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
15.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
09.02.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
2-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.82 xG 1.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 456
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Genk vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk beat OH Leuven 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Genk had 41% of the ball to OH Leuven's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.82 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Genk and 1.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Genk vs OH Leuven?

Genk 2-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Genk 56%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
11 Jan 2025
18:00 Westerlo vs St. Truidense Analysis →
22:45 Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →