Rigas FS II 1-3 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
38%
+10.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
40%
-11.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
2.26/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+42% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
458 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners saw off Rigas FS II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas FS II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Riga Mariners?

Rigas FS II 1-3 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 48%, draw 23%, Riga Mariners 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rigas FS II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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