Skanste 2-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.44/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.65
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.08.2024 Skanste Skanste 1-0 HT 0-0 Ogre United LET1
14.04.2024 Ogre United 1-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste nicked a narrow win over Ogre United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Skanste made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Skanste had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Skanste and 0.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Ogre United?

Skanste 2-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Skanste 35%, draw 30%, Ogre United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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