Marupe 1-2 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.19/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.32
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.09.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-3 Marupe Marupe LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils edged past Marupe 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Marupe vs JFK Ventspils?

Marupe 1-2 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marupe 36%, draw 21%, JFK Ventspils 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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