FK Riteriai 1-5 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
68%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+8.3pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.7pp
68%
Away Win
76%
-7.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 80%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.44/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.75
+85% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +17%
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
16.03.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.11.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
13.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-2 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
06.06.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris swept aside FK Riteriai 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Riteriai and 2.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Riteriai 1-5 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 16%, draw 16%, Kauno Zalgiris 68%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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