Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.48/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.97
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
26.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
01.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
13.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
5-2
AWAY FA Siauliai
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 62% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 38%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.00 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 47%, draw 23%, FA Siauliai 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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