FA Siauliai 0-3 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.49
+92% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
26.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
01.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
13.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
24.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
0-3
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen cruised past FA Siauliai 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 48% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 52%, shots finished 4-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.33 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FA Siauliai 0-3 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 27%, draw 31%, Hegelmann Litauen 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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