Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.91
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
26.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
01.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
13.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
24.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
28.06.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-0
AWAY FA Siauliai
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen squeezed past FA Siauliai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hegelmann Litauen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 56% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 44%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.33 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 40%, draw 27%, FA Siauliai 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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