Shabab Baalbeck 1-5 Shabab Al Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 57%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.25/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.66
-72% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Baalbeck
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Shabab Al Sahel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
08.06.2025 Shabab Baalbeck 1-2 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel LUBN
06.05.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 3-1 HT 0-1 Shabab Baalbeck LUBN
12.02.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 5-0 HT 3-0 Shabab Baalbeck LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel swept aside Shabab Baalbeck 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shabab Al Sahel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Sahel led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shabab Baalbeck and 3.33 for Shabab Al Sahel.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Shabab Baalbeck 1-5 Shabab Al Sahel in the Lebanon - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 25%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Sahel 52%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
5 Jul 2025
16:00 Bourj vs Racing Beirut Analysis →