Dnepr Rogachev 3-0 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.58
+9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
3-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev cruised past Lokomotiv Gomel 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 60% of the ball to Lokomotiv Gomel's 40%, shots finished 17-2.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Dnepr Rogachev 3-0 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 44%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Gomel 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
5 Aug 2024
17:00 Orsha vs Torpedo BelAZ II Analysis →
17:30 Niva Dolbizno vs Dinamo Minsk II Analysis →
18:00 Baranovichi vs BATE II Analysis →
18:00 Belshina vs Slonim Analysis →
18:00 FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida Analysis →