Baranovichi 0-1 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 55%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
377 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BATE II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.04.2024 BATE II BATE II 2-1 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
0-1
AWAY BATE II
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE II squeezed past Baranovichi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BATE II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baranovichi had 47% of the ball to BATE II's 53%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs BATE II?

Baranovichi 0-1 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 29%, draw 25%, BATE II 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BATE II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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