FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.02/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.64
+42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Lida Lida 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
26.08.2023 Lida Lida 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
12.06.2022 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Lida Lida BLR1
07.11.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Lida Lida BLR1
21.08.2021 Lida Lida 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
05.06.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Lida Lida BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
2-1
AWAY Lida
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk squeezed past Lida 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day FC Volna Pinsk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Volna Pinsk had 50% of the ball to Lida's 50%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lida led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.00 for Lida.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida?

FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 37%, draw 27%, Lida 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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