Botev Vratsa 1-2 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.03/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.48
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
15.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-2
AWAY PFC Beroe
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe edged past Botev Vratsa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day PFC Beroe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 61% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 39%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botev Vratsa and 0.67 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Botev Vratsa 1-2 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated an PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 32%, draw 29%, PFC Beroe 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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