Cerro Porteno 4-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
55%
-12.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
2.06/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.44
+29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
16.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
18.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
14.03.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
4-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno swept aside Sportivo Luqueno 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 52% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Cerro Porteno 4-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 42%, draw 29%, Sportivo Luqueno 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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