Alianza Atletico 1-1 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.55/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
18.8 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 1.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
202 Passes 397
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 4-0 HT 3-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
25.02.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-2 HT 3-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
15.10.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
30.05.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 4-1 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
24.07.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
02.10.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-1
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.80 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
323 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico and Sport Huancayo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Atletico at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 58% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 42%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.83 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?

Alianza Atletico 1-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 53%, draw 28%, Sport Huancayo 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ BTTS No
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