Universitario 1-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.08
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.1pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.6pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.9pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.84/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.70
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.6 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.91 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
372 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
03.10.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
28.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
04.07.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
25.07.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.86 xG 0.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 172
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Universitario had 63% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 37%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario and 0.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?

Universitario 1-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Universitario 65%, draw 20%, UTC Cajamarca 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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