Deportivo Recoleta 2-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.22/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.86
+7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
2-3
AWAY Club Guarani
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Recoleta 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 41% of the ball to Club Guarani's 59%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 2.00 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Deportivo Recoleta 2-3 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 32%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ BTTS Yes
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