Alianza Universidad 0-2 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.95/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.76
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +74%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
13.3 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.79 xG 2.12
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Universitario Universitario 4-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
23.09.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-4 HT 0-2 Universitario Universitario PER
31.10.2020 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
07.09.2020 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 3-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
08.09.2019 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
24.03.2019 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
0-2
AWAY Universitario
0.22 xG 2.75
65% Ball Possession 35%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
445 Passes 204
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario saw off Alianza Universidad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 65% of the ball to Universitario's 35%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.22 to 2.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Universidad and 2.33 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Universitario?

Alianza Universidad 0-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 23%, draw 23%, Universitario 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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