Melgar 1-1 Juan Pablo II College — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Aug 2025

Melgar
1-1 HT 1-0
Juan Pablo II College
📅05/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
75%
-0.5pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.1pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.8pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melgar v Juan Pablo II College — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.98/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.83
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 73%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.8 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.07.2025 Juan Pablo II College 1-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER

Melgar 1-1 Juan Pablo II College — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
1-1
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
1.54 xG 0.27
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
434 Passes 141
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 7
35 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar and Juan Pablo II College shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Melgar carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melgar had 69% of the ball to Juan Pablo II College's 31%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College?

Melgar 1-1 Juan Pablo II College in the Peru - Premier League on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Melgar 75%, draw 13%, Juan Pablo II College 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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