Universidad Concepcion 1-3 Curico Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 5 Aug 2026

Universidad Concepcion
1-3 HT 0-2
Curico Unido
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universidad Concepcion v Curico Unido — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Curico Unido EU Bookmakers 30%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.69/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Concepcion
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Curico Unido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.09 xG 2.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
128 Passes 199
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.06.2026 Curico Unido Curico Unido 2-2 HT 2-2 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİK
23.03.2025 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-1 HT 0-1 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİLİK
09.02.2025 Curico Unido Curico Unido 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİK
18.11.2020 Curico Unido Curico Unido 2-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
17.02.2020 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 0-0 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
10.08.2019 Curico Unido Curico Unido 4-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL

Universidad Concepcion 1-3 Curico Unido — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Concepcion
1-3
AWAY Curico Unido
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curico Unido got the better of Universidad Concepcion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Curico Unido found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curico Unido led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universidad Concepcion and 1.83 for Curico Unido.

What was the final score of Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Universidad Concepcion 1-3 Curico Unido in the Chile - Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Universidad Concepcion 40%, draw 26%, Curico Unido 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Concepcion), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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