Universidad Concepcion 1-1 Curico Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Curico Unido EU Bookmakers 26%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.99/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Concepcion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Curico Unido
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
224 Passes 264
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Curico Unido Curico Unido 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİK
18.11.2020 Curico Unido Curico Unido 2-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
17.02.2020 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 0-0 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
10.08.2019 Curico Unido Curico Unido 4-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
04.05.2019 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 0-2 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
25.08.2018 Curico Unido Curico Unido 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Concepcion
1-1
AWAY Curico Unido
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion and Curico Unido shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Concepcion at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Concepcion had 50% of the ball to Curico Unido's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curico Unido led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universidad Concepcion and 1.83 for Curico Unido.

What was the final score of Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Universidad Concepcion 1-1 Curico Unido in the Chile - Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universidad Concepcion 42%, draw 28%, Curico Unido 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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