Concepcion 3-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concepcion EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 62%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-15% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concepcion
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Palestino
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
03.07.2021 Concepcion Concepcion 0-4 HT 0-2 Palestino Palestino ŞİLİK
30.06.2021 Palestino Palestino 4-0 HT 2-0 Concepcion Concepcion ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concepcion
3-2
AWAY Palestino
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Concepcion vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concepcion nicked a narrow win over Palestino 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Palestino at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concepcion had 44% of the ball to Palestino's 56%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Concepcion and 4.00 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Concepcion vs Palestino?

Concepcion 3-2 Palestino in the Chile - Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concepcion vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Concepcion 26%, draw 26%, Palestino 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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