Santa Cruz 3-2 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 23 Mar 2025

Santa Cruz
3-2 HT 2-2
Nublense
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Santa Cruz vs Nublense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
36%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.1pp
36%
Away Win
49%
-12.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Nublense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 53%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.12/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.52
-91% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
– Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santa Cruz vs Nublense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nublense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 2
The Meetings
09.02.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz ŞİLİK

Santa Cruz 3-2 Nublense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
3-2
AWAY Nublense
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz squeezed past Nublense 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) promised a tight game; Santa Cruz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 42% of the ball to Nublense's 58%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Nublense?

Santa Cruz 3-2 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 28%, draw 36%, Nublense 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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