San Marcos 1-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 23 Mar 2025

San Marcos
1-0 HT 1-0
La Serena
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2025

San Marcos vs La Serena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Marcos v La Serena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marcos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 38%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
+76% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

San Marcos vs La Serena Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Marcos
2W-1D-1L
AWAY La Serena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
The Meetings
10.02.2025 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 0-1 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİK
20.08.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 1-1 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
18.04.2023 San Marcos San Marcos 2-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
30.03.2014 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-1 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
POST-MATCH San Marcos vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Marcos squeezed past La Serena 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Marcos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Marcos had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Marcos and 1.00 for La Serena.

What was the final score of San Marcos vs La Serena?

San Marcos 1-0 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marcos vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Marcos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Marcos 39%, draw 26%, La Serena 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Marcos), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Marcos) ✓ BTTS No
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