Columbus Crew 3-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.43
6+ Goals
13%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
42%
+13.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.6pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.20/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.82
+90% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-1
AWAY Atlas
1.24 xG 0.84
5 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
403 Passes 545
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew saw off Atlas 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.24 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Atlas?

Columbus Crew 3-1 Atlas in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 55%, draw 22%, Atlas 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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