FC Cincinnati 3-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.53
6+ Goals
15%
5.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
2.07/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.82
+47% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
12.7 Crosses 25.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
3-1
AWAY Pachuca
0.58 xG 1.05
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
459 Passes 289
17 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati got the better of Pachuca 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.58 to 1.05 — on chances, Pachuca could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Pachuca?

FC Cincinnati 3-1 Pachuca in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 43%, draw 24%, Pachuca 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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