Minnesota United 1-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2026

Minnesota United
1-2 HT 1-2
FC Juarez
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2026

Minnesota United vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 26%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.42/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.29
-21% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.8 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Minnesota United 1-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-2
AWAY FC Juarez
0.60 xG 1.64
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
424 Passes 295
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez edged past Minnesota United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs FC Juarez?

Minnesota United 1-2 FC Juarez in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 53%, draw 22%, FC Juarez 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONLK More Concacaf League Cup
5 Aug 2026
02:45 Columbus Crew vs Atlas Analysis →
02:45 FC Cincinnati vs Pachuca Analysis →
04:15 Charlotte vs Pumas UNAM Analysis →
05:00 Tigres vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
05:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs Atlante Analysis →