Cacereno 1-0 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.00
-37% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
257 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-0
AWAY Guadalajara
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Guadalajara?

Cacereno 1-0 Guadalajara in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 49%, draw 28%, Guadalajara 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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