Milan 1-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2026

Milan
1-1 HT 0-0
Inter
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.65
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
6.89
X/2
19%
5.43
X/X
10%
5.82
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
2.95
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.65 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.97/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.77
-81% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 85%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
13.3 Crosses 14.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Inter
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
306 Passes 496
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
23.11.2025 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
23.04.2025 Inter Inter 0-3 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTK
02.04.2025 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK
02.02.2025 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
06.01.2025 Inter Inter 2-3 HT 1-0 Milan Milan İTSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1-1
AWAY Inter
1.39 xG 2.34
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
407 Passes 529
21 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milan vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan and Inter shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.39 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Milan and 0.67 for Inter.

What was the final score of Milan vs Inter?

Milan 1-1 Inter in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Milan 35%, draw 23%, Inter 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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