Chelsea 0-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2026

Chelsea
0-1 HT 0-0
Juventus
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Chelsea vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.17
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.67
X/2
12%
6.44
X/X
9%
5.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.5
2/2
13%
3.87
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.5 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.98/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.83
-18% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.2 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0

Chelsea vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 0.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
560 Passes 288
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 4-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus ŞMP
29.09.2021 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea ŞMP
20.11.2012 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea ŞMP
19.09.2012 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 2-1 Juventus Juventus ŞMP
10.03.2009 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea ŞMP
25.02.2009 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus ŞMP

Chelsea 0-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
0-1
AWAY Juventus
0.61 xG 0.64
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
486 Passes 365
22 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus edged past Chelsea 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chelsea and 1.33 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Juventus?

Chelsea 0-1 Juventus in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 47%, draw 23%, Juventus 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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