Toledo 1-3 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Aug 2026

Toledo
1-3 HT 1-1
Navalcarnero
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Toledo vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toledo v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toledo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 38%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.92
-100% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Toledo vs Navalcarnero Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toledo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
The Meetings
27.08.2017 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-1 HT 0-1 Toledo Toledo İS3

Toledo 1-3 Navalcarnero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toledo
1-3
AWAY Navalcarnero
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Toledo vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero saw off Toledo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Navalcarnero made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-22.

What was the final score of Toledo vs Navalcarnero?

Toledo 1-3 Navalcarnero in the Friendlies on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toledo vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toledo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Toledo 37%, draw 27%, Navalcarnero 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toledo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toledo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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