Inter vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Inter vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Milan
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Milan
ŞMP
0-2
HT 0-2
Inter
ŞMP
1-0
HT 1-0
Milan
İTA
Inter 2-3 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Milan squeezed past Inter 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Inter at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Inter had 56% of the ball to Milan's 44%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.80 to 2.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter and 0.67 for Milan.
What was the final score of Inter vs Milan?
Inter 2-3 Milan in the Italy - Super Cup on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Inter 51%, draw 26%, Milan 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.