Milan 1-0 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Mar 2026

Milan
1-0 HT 1-0
Inter
📅08/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.63
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
7%
6.69
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
16%
4.16
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
29%
3.27
2/X
6%
11.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.00/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.17
-26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.2 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Inter
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
308 Passes 476
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
23.04.2025 Inter Inter 0-3 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTK
02.04.2025 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK
02.02.2025 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
06.01.2025 Inter Inter 2-3 HT 1-0 Milan Milan İTSK
22.09.2024 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1-0
AWAY Inter
0.85 xG 1.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
327 Passes 569
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan nicked a narrow win over Inter 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milan had 37% of the ball to Inter's 63%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Milan and 0.83 for Inter.

What was the final score of Milan vs Inter?

Milan 1-0 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Milan 25%, draw 30%, Inter 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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